Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.019963 0.022194 0.024423 0.026813 0.029295 0.031794 0.034493
2025-02-16 0.015673 0.019200 0.022858 0.026902 0.031220 0.035668 0.040574
2025-02-23 0.012643 0.016953 0.021570 0.026805 0.032511 0.038488 0.045173
2025-03-02 0.010251 0.015058 0.020370 0.026531 0.033364 0.040616 0.048816
2025-03-09 0.008427 0.013580 0.019451 0.026400 0.034220 0.042613 0.052186
2025-03-16 0.006620 0.011921 0.018174 0.025734 0.034371 0.043741 0.054515
2025-03-23 0.005492 0.010967 0.017626 0.025821 0.035293 0.045652 0.057636
2025-03-30 0.004306 0.009802 0.016734 0.025433 0.035614 0.046844 0.059915
2025-04-06 0.003167 0.008546 0.015638 0.024734 0.035521 0.047522 0.061580
2025-04-13 0.002023 0.007080 0.014166 0.023504 0.034752 0.047389 0.062294
2025-04-20 0.001633 0.006722 0.014103 0.023965 0.035935 0.049447 0.065436
2025-04-27 0.001047 0.005891 0.013347 0.023527 0.036025 0.050233 0.067125
2025-05-04 0.000420 0.004760 0.012184 0.022660 0.035734 0.050739 0.068696
2025-05-11 0.000150 0.004210 0.011830 0.022842 0.036741 0.052796 0.072090
2025-05-18 0.000003 0.003591 0.011305 0.022767 0.037413 0.054448 0.075011
2025-05-25 NaN 0.002960 0.010680 0.022513 0.037835 0.055783 0.077545
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002451 0.010180 0.022391 0.038392 0.057252 0.080212
2025-06-08 NaN 0.001821 0.009356 0.021770 0.038292 0.057922 0.081935
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001502 0.009051 0.021851 0.039057 0.059600 0.084805
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001091 0.008462 0.021490 0.039236 0.060562 0.086830
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000674 0.007707 0.020839 0.039015 0.061024 0.088254
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000263 0.006673 0.019696 0.038117 0.060642 0.088671
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000196 0.006664 0.020124 0.039268 0.062734 0.091973